Parts of metro area face ‘enhanced’ risk of severe weather today

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By John Dobberstein, Editor

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman says a “complex and significant” severe weather episode is forecast this afternoon and tonight in the central Plains that could possibly include Tulsa and eastern Oklahoma.

The SPC has issued an “enhanced” risk of severe thunderstorms over the central and southern Plains through Saturday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail and a few tornadoes.

In fact, SPC says there is an “increased risk of EF2 to EF5 tornadoes” and hail 2 inches or greater associated with some of these thunderstorms.

There is a “moderate” chance of severe storms in north and northeastern Kansas, with “enhanced” conditions expected for Kansas City, Wichita, and the northern areas of the Tulsa metro. Southern Tulsa County, including Broken Arrow, falls into a “slight risk” category at this time, as does Oklahoma City.

SPC forecasters say there is greater uncertainty about storm initiation closer to the Kansas/Oklahoma border, but most models show one or more isolated supercells forming along a dryline somewhere in Oklahoma by late afternoon or evening.

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